Expediting is not a fix, it is the invoice for a decision made too late

Module · Transport and Distribution

Visibility platforms told you the truck was late. They did not tell you what it costs, so the answer was air freight.

Prophesee Logistics prices the disruption while a cheaper option still exists.

Parameter estimation and driftPlan to actual conformanceEvent detection and effect estimationAllocation under scarcityException triage
The shift

Everyone sold seeing. Almost nobody sold deciding.

Knowing the truck is late was never the hard part. Knowing what it costs, and what to do instead, still is.

34
Manual updates across six platforms to resolve one disruption, a decade after visibility was sold as the answer
40 to 60%
Of a planner's time is still transactional rather than analytical
None
Published benchmark exists for expedite and premium freight as a share of freight spend. 3RDi review of the freight and logistics literature, Aug 2026.

Sources: Gartner, cited in FourKites, Why Supply Chain Control Towers Did Not Deliver, 2026; the publisher is a visibility vendor writing about its own category · MIT, cited in the same FourKites analysis (approximately 25 emails and input from 8 roles per disruption) · McKinsey, Supply Chain 4.0, cited in the same analysis; original fieldwork is more than five years old · FourKites survey of real time understanding, sample size not disclosed by the publisher.

A new approach

From seeing the delay to pricing the answer

foresight iconForesight
Today · The transit time table

Lane transit times were loaded once and are averages. The plan promises a date the lane has not held for two years.

The shipment heading for premium freight

Measured transit distributions by lane, mode and carrier, and a predicted arrival with a confidence band. Shipments trending towards a premium freight decision are named while a cheaper option still exists.

pulse iconPulse
Today · The tracking portal

The portal shows every shipment and ranks none of them, so the team works the loudest customer rather than the costliest delay.

The lane that quietly stopped working

Lanes tested continuously against their own measured performance. When reliability shifts, the alert carries the affected orders, the revenue behind them and a named owner.

horizon iconHorizon
Today · The annual freight tender

Mode and routing are set once a year on rate cards. The trade between cost, cash and service is never re-priced when the year changes underneath it.

Price the mode before you book it

Model air against ocean against road on landed cost, cash tied up in transit and service, watch the projected curve update, then track the actual against the modelled plan.

nexus iconNexus
Today · The carrier and the ERP

The shipment, the order it carries, the customer promise and the invoice sit in four systems, so nobody can say what a delay actually stops.

Ask what this shipment holds up

Shipments, orders, customer promises and freight cost resolved into one graph. Ask in plain language and get the exposure with the source behind every figure.

From challenge to decision

Turning logistics challenges into decisions

Problem: Parameter estimation and drift
What produces it today: The transit time table

Lane transit times were loaded once as averages, so every promise built on them inherits an error nobody measures.

Engine: foresight icon Foresight
The applications that replace it: Transit Time ModelArrival Forecast
Problem: Plan to actual conformance
What produces it today: The carrier scorecard

Carrier performance is reviewed quarterly against a target, long after the orders it affected have shipped.

Engine: foresight icon Foresightpulse icon Pulse
The applications that replace it: Lane Degradation WatchCost To Serve Breach
Problem: Exception triage
What produces it today: The tracking portal

Every shipment is visible and none are ranked, so the team works the loudest customer rather than the costliest delay.

Engine: pulse icon Pulsenexus icon Nexus
The applications that replace it: Freight Exception QueueAsk The Shipment
Problem: Allocation under scarcity
What produces it today: The load planning sheet

When capacity is short the loads are built by hand, so the cheapest freight wins rather than the most valuable order.

Engine: horizon icon Horizon
The applications that replace it: Consolidation ScenarioExpedite Predictor
Problem: Event detection and effect estimation
What produces it today: The disruption email

A port closes, a carrier fails, a route shuts. Somebody forwards the news and the re-plan starts from scratch.

Engine: pulse icon Pulsehorizon icon Horizon
The applications that replace it: Event RadarMode Shift What If
What becomes possible

13 AI applications that could be relevant

A sample of what becomes possible on the decision layer, not a fixed list: each application draws on the same data foundation and audit trail, and new ones are configured on the engines, not built from scratch.

Foresight
Transit Time Model

The measured transit distribution by lane, mode and carrier, against the planning value.

Foresight
Arrival Forecast

Predicted arrival with a confidence band and what it puts at risk.

Foresight
Expedite Predictor

The shipments heading for premium freight, early enough to avoid it.

Foresight
Landed Cost Trail

The freight, duty and handling behind a delivered unit cost.

Pulse
Lane Degradation Watch

A lane whose reliability has shifted, raised with the affected orders.

Pulse
Freight Exception Queue

Ranked by the order and the customer behind the shipment.

Pulse
Cost To Serve Breach

A route or mode whose cost per unit has crossed the agreed threshold.

Pulse
Event Radar

Route, port and carrier events detected and matched to the shipments they touch.

Horizon
Mode Shift What If

Model air against ocean against road on cost, cash and service before you commit.

Horizon
Consolidation Scenario

Test load building and consolidation rules against service and freight spend.

Horizon
Freight Budget Path

The date the plan lands inside the freight budget at the agreed service.

Nexus
Ask The Shipment

Where it is, why it is late, and what it holds up.

Nexus
Lane History Search

Every shipment on this lane, including those recorded under different names.

How work changes

A day when the premium is avoided

Today: A transit time table loaded once, holding averages the lanes no longer meet.

With Prophesee:
07:15foresight icon Foresight
The lane as it runs

Measured transit replaces the table. Six lanes are being promised two days faster than they deliver.

Today: A tracking portal showing everything and ranking nothing.

With Prophesee:
09:50pulse icon Pulse
A delay with a price

A lane degrades. The alert carries the orders, the customers and the revenue behind them.

Today: An expedite approved on Friday for an order that was late on Tuesday.

With Prophesee:
12:25horizon icon Horizon
Price the mode

Air against ocean modelled on cost, cash in transit and service. He books the one that holds the promise cheapest.

Today: A freight tender priced once a year against a year that changed.

With Prophesee:
16:10foresight icon Foresight
The premium not paid

Eleven shipments were flagged early enough to re-plan. The expedite budget shows the difference.

Tomorrow's delay becomes today's decision.

Stop paying to fix it late

We agree the metric and the baseline in week one, and measure the result on your data.