The schedule is a forecast of the factory, and nobody scores it

Module · Production Planning and Scheduling

Every other forecast in the business is measured. The schedule is not, so the gap between the plan and the week is argued rather than attributed.

Prophesee Manufacturing scores the schedule and tests the sequence before it is released.

Constraint feasibility and sequencingPlan instabilityPlan to actual conformanceException triageParameter estimation and drift
The shift

The factory is judged on adherence. Nobody benchmarks it.

Every other forecast in the business is measured against what happened. The schedule is not, and the sequence that drives most of the loss is still chosen by hand.

28.7%
Of all efficiency loss in discrete manufacturing comes from setup and changeover, the second largest cause
66.8%
Overall equipment effectiveness across 1,470 discrete operations, ranging from 57.2% to 78.2% by sector
None
Published schedule adherence benchmark survives a source check. Every figure in circulation traces back to an unsourced page. 3RDi review, Aug 2026.

Sources: Godlan, OEE benchmark, data Jan to Dec 2025 (1,470+ discrete manufacturing operations); vendor published on its own installed base, so treat as indicative · Deloitte, Smart Manufacturing and Operations Survey, 2025 (n=600 US executives at companies above $500m revenue; fieldwork Aug to Sep 2024) · Qlector, How Leading Manufacturers Plan Production, Oct 2025 (largest Slovenian manufacturers, sample size not disclosed) · 3RDi review of published schedule adherence benchmarks, Aug 2026.

A new approach

From publishing the schedule to scoring it

foresight iconForesight
Today · The routing master

Run rates and changeover times were written at implementation. The line has been re-tooled twice since and the standard has not moved.

Cycle time as measured, not as routed

The measured distribution of run time and changeover by product, line and shift, set against the routing standard. Every plan is then built on what the line actually does.

pulse iconPulse
Today · The exception monitor

The run produces hundreds of messages ranked by order number, so the scheduler works the top of the list and the line stops anyway.

The moment the plan becomes infeasible

Every works order tested continuously against material, capacity and labour. When the plan becomes unrunnable the alert names the binding constraint and the customer order behind it.

horizon iconHorizon
Today · The scheduling spreadsheet

The sequence is chosen by hand against due dates. The changeover cost of that choice is never priced against the batch size it saves.

Test the sequence before you release it

Sequences generated and compared under mixed integer and constraint programming, priced on changeover, capacity and due date, with the projected curve shown before the orders are released.

nexus iconNexus
Today · The shop floor and the ERP

The works order, the material, the quality event and the operator note live in four systems, so explaining a late order takes a morning.

Ask why this order is late

Works orders, materials, downtime, quality events and shift notes resolved into one graph. Ask in plain language and get the constraint and the history behind it.

From challenge to decision

Turning production challenges into decisions

Problem: Constraint feasibility and sequencing
What produces it today: The scheduling spreadsheet

The sequence is chosen by hand against due dates, so changeover cost is never priced against the batch it saves.

Engine: horizon icon Horizon
The applications that replace it: Sequence What IfCapacity Scenario
Problem: Plan instability
What produces it today: The planning run

The run reschedules hundreds of works orders when nothing outside the factory has changed, and the floor stops trusting it.

Engine: pulse icon Pulsehorizon icon Horizon
The applications that replace it: Nervousness MonitorTime Fence What If
Problem: Plan to actual conformance
What produces it today: The adherence report

Adherence is reported as a single number with no attribution, so the plan and the floor blame each other every week.

Engine: foresight icon Foresightpulse icon Pulse
The applications that replace it: Adherence AttributionLate Order Prediction
Problem: Exception triage
What produces it today: The exception monitor

Hundreds of messages ranked by order number rather than by the customer order and revenue behind them.

Engine: pulse icon Pulse
The applications that replace it: Shop Floor Exception QueueChangeover Cost Watch
Problem: Parameter estimation and drift
What produces it today: The routing master

Run rates and changeover matrices were written at implementation and have not been measured against the line since.

Engine: foresight icon Foresightnexus icon Nexus
The applications that replace it: Cycle Time ModelRouting Reality
What becomes possible

14 AI applications that could be relevant

A sample of what becomes possible on the decision layer, not a fixed list: each application draws on the same data foundation and audit trail, and new ones are configured on the engines, not built from scratch.

Foresight
Cycle Time Model

The measured distribution of run time by product, line and shift, not the routing standard.

Foresight
Yield Forecast

Expected yield and its spread by product and line, so the plan orders the right quantity.

Foresight
Late Order Prediction

Which works orders will miss, days before they do.

Foresight
Adherence Attribution

The gap between plan and week decomposed into plan error, material, capacity and labour.

Pulse
Schedule Break Alert

The moment the plan becomes infeasible, with the binding constraint named.

Pulse
Changeover Cost Watch

Sequences that cost more in changeover than they save in batch size.

Pulse
Shop Floor Exception Queue

Ranked by the customer order behind the works order, routed to a named owner.

Pulse
Nervousness Monitor

Orders rescheduled by the run without a corresponding change in the real world.

Horizon
Sequence What If

A sequence tested against changeover, capacity and due date before the works orders are released.

Horizon
Capacity Scenario

Model a shift pattern, a line addition or an outage and watch the plan update.

Horizon
Adherence Target Path

The date the plan reaches the adherence target, tracked against actuals.

Horizon
Time Fence What If

Test lot size, time fence and horizon settings against plan stability.

Nexus
Ask The Schedule

Why this order is late, with the constraint and the history behind it.

Nexus
Routing Reality

Where the routing standard and the measured reality diverge, by operation.

How work changes

A day when the schedule holds

Today: A sequence built by hand against due dates, with changeover absorbed silently.

With Prophesee:
06:45foresight icon Foresight
The line as it runs

Measured cycle times replace the routing standard. Nine products are being planned twenty percent faster than they run.

Today: An exception list of four hundred messages, sorted by order number.

With Prophesee:
08:30pulse icon Pulse
Infeasible, with a reason

A works order becomes unrunnable at 11:00. The alert names the material and the customer order behind it.

Today: An adherence number with no attribution, argued at the Monday meeting.

With Prophesee:
11:15horizon icon Horizon
Price the sequence

Two sequences compared on changeover, capacity and due date. He releases the one that costs four hours less.

Today: A routing standard that has not been measured since the line was re-tooled.

With Prophesee:
16:40foresight icon Foresight
Attribution, not argument

The week decomposed into plan error, material, capacity and labour. The Monday meeting takes ten minutes.

Tomorrow's sequence becomes today's decision.

Run the plan you published

We agree the metric and the baseline in week one, and measure the result on your data.